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Evaluating the merits of a Josh Hader trade to the Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers relief pitcher Josh Hader (71). MARK HOFFMAN/MILWAUKEE JOURNAL SENTINEL / USA TODAY NETWORK

The Milwaukee Brewers are in first place in the National League Central and are on pace to make their fifth straight postseason appearance. Typically, this situation would make the Brewers so-called “buyers” at the trade deadline. However, Milwaukee is also in a unique situation when it comes to four-time All-Star closer Josh Hader. The three-time NL Relief Pitcher of the Year will be entering his final season of arbitration in 2023. The Brewers will not be able (or willing) to pay Hader what he is worth. As a result, as USA Today’s Bob Nightengale reported, the Brewers have notified other teams that they will listen to trade offers for Hader.

Los Angeles Dodgers closer Craig Kimbrel has been struggling mightily this season. The eight-time All-Star is 3-4 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.47 WHIP to go along with 15 saves. The Dodgers could use an upgrade at the closer position, and who better to trade for than Hader? The Dodgers also have some intriguing prospects who may interest the Brewers.

The Dodgers’ top prospects

  • Diego Cartaya (catcher): MLB’s #13 overall prospect, Dodgers’ No. 1 prospect
    • 2022 stats (A+): .269/.410/.944, 14 home runs, 48 RBI
  • Bobby Miller (right-handed pitcher): MLB’s No. 26 overall prospect; Dodgers’ No. 2 prospect
    • 2022 stats (AA): 4-3, 4.12 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 82 strikeouts in 67.2 innings
  • Michael Busch (first base/second base): MLB’s No. 42 overall prospect; Dodgers’ No. 3 prospect
    • 2022 stats (AA-AAA): .277/.368.555, 21 home runs, 64 RBI
  • Andy Pages (outfielder): MLB’s No. 47 overall prospect; Dodgers’ No. 4 prospect
    • 2022 stats (AA): .243/.353/.469, 15 home runs, 48 RBI
  • Miguel Vargas (infielder): MLB’s No. 70 overall prospect; Dodgers’ No. 5 prospect
    • 2022 (AAA): .296/.387/.497, 13 home runs, 61 RBI
  • Ryan Pepiot (right-handed pitcher): MLB’s No. 75 overall prospect; Dodgers’ No. 6 prospect
    • 2022 (AAA): 7-0. 2.35 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 83 strikeouts in 61.1 innings; 1-0, 2.76, 1.35 WHIP in four starts with Dodgers

Why would the Brewers trade Hader now?

In addition to not being able to afford Hader once he hits free agency, the Milwaukee Brewers feel like they are in a good situation to win even without Hader on the roster. Devin Williams is among the most elite relievers in all of baseball. In fact, he is the only other relief pitcher, besides Hader himself, to win the NL Reliever of the Year Award in the past four seasons.

The other thing to keep in mind when discussing when Hader will be traded is that he loses value the longer the Brewers hold onto him. Of course, the Brewers may wait until the offseason to trade Hader. As Nightengale admits, they “love” having him on their team. However, the return the Brewers would get by trading Hader this season would be greater than if they were to wait until the offseason. The Dodgers boast six prospects in MLB’s top 100. As much as fans may not like to admit it, that makes them the ideal trade partner.

This article first appeared on WI Sports Heroics and was syndicated with permission.

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