New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara. Maria Lysaker-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Week 7 'TNF' player props: An over and an under for the two RBs

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated 10/18/23

This Thursday night game isn't offering quite as many betting trends at first glance as one might hope for from a primetime game. Both defenses have been relatively stingy, especially against the run.

One need only remember that there are two sides to every prop total, and it's time we start fading some lines with an under. For those who prefer rooting on something to happen, fret not, we've got an over too.

Travis Etienne under 65.5 rushing yards (-114 FanDuel)

This line is five yards higher than on DraftKings, so if you're going to take an under, best to get some more insurance.

Etienne has had some big games this year, but, he's gone under this line three times, failing to eclipse 55 yards in all three of said games.

New Orleans is allowing the seventh-fewest yards per game to opposing running backs, and they have yet to see a running back go higher than this number here.

Derrick Henry is likely the toughest test they've faced, and they were able to hold him to 63. Only one running back in six tries has gone over their rushing yards total against the Saints, Rachaad White in Week 4, tallying 56 yards on the day.

Grab Etienne's under.

Alvin Kamara over 12.5 longest rush (-114 FanDuel)

Kamara has shown some pop to his longest rush prop, and it feels like a solid look to follow if you need some excitement in this one.

Kamara has gone over this line in two of three games this season and six of his last seven games.

Thrive Fantasy New User Promotion: Get a $250 Deposit Match + Alvin Kamara 0.5 Rushing Yards Prop

Where the Saints running back really shines is on turf, where this game is being played. Over the past 20 games Kamara has played on turf, he's recorded a run of over 12.5 yards 15 times, good for an 80% hit-rate. That seems like a trend worth backing in this one.

Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use.

More must-reads: