Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Unio / USA TODAY NETWORK

Week 7 'TNF' touchdown props: Two targets for Saints vs. Jaguars

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated 10/17/23

Thursday night's NFL game is between the 3-3 New Orleans Saints and 4-2 Jacksonville Jaguars. Given the over/under is set at just 39.5 points, it seems touchdowns might be at a premium. That opens the door for some value opportunities, and we're jumping at two this week. We recommend half-unit wagers on all touchdown bets.

Chris Olave TD (+190 DraftKings)

The one potential on-paper edge we're seeing favors the New Orleans' pass catchers. Jacksonville has allowed 1.17 touchdowns per game to WRs, tied for the sixth-highest mark in the league.

In slots Chris Olave, who has seen double-digit targets in four of six games this year. Olave tops the Saints in both targets and snaps played, yet he's turned that volume into only one touchdown thus far.

Here's to the young receiver finding pay-dirt once again.

Trevor Lawrence TD (+450 DraftKings)

Now, this is a fun one. If you're going to bet on some quarterback rushing touchdowns, it's best to acknowledge the supreme unlikeliness of your wager, but lately our scientific takes haven't quite been delivering, so that's opt for some fun.

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Lawrence has played twice on Thursday night in his career, rushing in a touchdown both times. Is there something about the short week and the TNF broadcast that makes Lawrence think he needs to deliver a score with his legs? No, this is probably just a stupid coincidence, but it sure seems interesting.

Drop this stat nugget in your group chats and root on Lawrence rushing one in against the Saints. He's been using his legs all year, averaging 24.5 rushing yards per game and 5.5 attempts per contest.

Year-to-date on touchdowns: 9-26 (-2.25u)

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