Last night was a good one on the ice, a welcome sight to begin our week. Tuesdays in hockey tend to mean a packed slate, and the board has some shooters at extremely reasonable odds. We've got nine plays here for your consideration tonight.
I'd definitely like to begin the night with a piece of Tampa Bay. Dallas is allowing 33.4 shots per game on the road and handing out the third-most power play opportunities per game.
When scanning the board, Brayden Point immediately jumped out to me, and at even money I think we've got ourselves a nice grab on the day. Point is second on the Lightning in PP shots, over in three of his last four, four of his last five at home, and had four SOG in both games against Dallas last year.
Dahlin is on a roll for Buffalo. He's over 2.5 SOG in eight straight games and has recorded 3+ shots in all 10 home games this season. Vancouver is a solid defenseman target for shots, and I like Dahlin to continue his volume this evening.
We pair him with John Tavares, who will see a Pittsburgh team allowing the fifth-most shots per game to centers and 34.4 shots per game at home. The Penguins have also had issues with penalties, and Tavares is second on Toronto in power-play shots.
Tavares is over 2.5 shots in six of seven road games this season and had five SOG the last time he skated in Pittsburgh.
Candidly, these are two guys I never seem to get right. I'm combining them and moving the bet down to just a half-unit play in the hopes that by becoming intertwined, they deliver me a win.
Hughes is over 3.5 in five of his last seven and had seven shots when he last saw Montreal. Eichel is over in seven of his last 10 and four straight at home. Both teams should lead the shot tallies tonight, and it's these two that feel likely to lead the way.
We're going back to Tage Thompson here, who is over 3.5 shots in three straight and six of his last seven in Buffalo.
The Sabres host a Canucks team allowing 33 shots and 4.3 goals per game on the road. Thompson is over this 3.5 total in two of his last three against Vancouver and is averaging 9.1 attempts per game in his last ten. These odds are too good to ignore tonight.
As long as books like Caesars, Bet365 and Fliff continue to offer SGP options for shots, it's best we take advantage. Today's example is our old friends, the Florida Panthers. Washington is allowing north of 35 shots per game on the road, and Florida peppers teams to the tune of 40+ shots at home.
I'm rolling with a solid four guys to all hit their shots, and I've wagered a unit on the combo in a big play for tonight.
With Columbus down a few defensemen for the foreseeable future, their 36.1 shots allowed per game (second-highest in the NHL) is sure to only increase. With Patrik Laine out again now as well, it's going to be a challenge for Columbus to possess the puck and get much of anything going out there.
One area the Blue Jackets are particularly vulnerable against is defensemen; no team is allowing more shots per game to D-men than Columbus.
In slots Provorov of Philly, who had four shots on goal against Columbus just five days ago and registered 4+ shots in two of three against them last season. He's had steady shot volume and is over in two straight on the road.
This is a bit juiced, but I'm willing to take it straight simply because of the power-play data I'm seeing. No team allows more shots on the penalty kill than Nashville's 7.27/game. Kaprizov paces the Wild in PP shots with 23 total this year, so logic would suggest he's going to be getting some chances while skating a man up.
Kaprizov is far steadier at home, but I can overlook that by seeing that he finished with five SOG in both road meetings with the Predators last season.
We're always going to need a SOG prop against the Ducks, given they allow the most shots per game at 39.1. Kubalik feels like a rock-solid choice at great odds. He's over 2.5 shots in three of his last four and four of his last five on the road.
Kubalik had six SOG against Anaheim in October and has seen a nice uptick in his attempts lately, averaging 6.25 per game over his last four. Kubalik is also third on the team in power-play shots, and Anaheim tends to get penalized and allow shots when trying to kill penalties.
Let me be clear: I love Frank Vatrano's shots at 2.5. He's gone over in every home game and 10 of his last 12. Detroit is seeing 32.8 shots per game against them on the road, and Anaheim has been a respectable shooting bunch when on home ice.
I don't really know what to pair Vatrano's shots with, because the -140 price we're getting is just a bit too juiced for my liking. Instead, I take this volume and apply it towards a goal bet. Despite the steady shots from Vatrano, he has just one goal over his last 10 games, and hasn't scored at home since the opener.
The Red Wings are allowing 4.2 goals per game on the road this season. I like the Ducks to notch some scores, and why not one of their best shooters?
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